«Breaking News» Humanity is like a frog in a gradually boiling pot of water

Human beings are now predisposed to normalise extreme weather conditions in the face of unprecedented climate change.

New research suggests that 21st century humans are getting used to unseasonally hot weather, disappearing landmasses and savage storms without even realising it. 

The authors drew a correlation between what we perceive as 'normal' weather is and the 'boiling frog effect'.

This is the notion that a frog immersed in gradually heating water won't notice the slow change in its circumstances, even as it's being boiled alive.

According to the findings, people base their idea of normal weather on what has happened in the past 2-8 years rather than the historical climate record.

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Human beings are now conditioned to normalise extreme weather conditions in the face of unprecedented climate change. New research suggests that as 21st century human beings are turning a blind eye to rising temperatures, ferocious storms and disappearing land masses

The scientists warn that there is danger in this as it could obscure the public's perception of climate change as well as impeding governments to come up with policies that address climate change.

'It's a true boiling frog effect', said lead author Dr Frances C. Moore, an assistant professor in the UC Davis Department of Environmental Science and Policy. 

'We are experiencing conditions that are historically extreme, but they might not feel particularly unusual if we tend to forget what happened more than about five years ago.'

'We are experiencing conditions that are historically extreme, but they might not feel particularly unusual if we tend to forget what happened more than about five years ago.' 

Professor Moore and her team sampled over two billion geo-located Twitter posts between March 2014 and November 2016.

Measuring the attitudes and the sentiment in public posts about weather, the team cross-referenced them with localised temperatures.

They then compared them against a baseline reference of weather data from 1981 to 1990 to see how people reacted significant changes in weather in their regions to 

Basically, they were looking for how people reacted to significant changes in localised weather conditions, to find what kinds of weather people find normal or unusual.

People were generally more likely to tweet about the weather if it was unusual for the season where they lived – for example, warm conditions in winter, or cool temperatures in summer. 

Temperatures initially considered remarkable rapidly become unremarkable with repeated exposure over a roughly  five-year timescale, they found.

'Since expectation adjustment is rapid relative to the pace of anthropogenic climate change, this shifting subjective baseline has large implications for the notability of temperature anomalies as climate change progresses.' 

The authors noted that they only studied what people were tweeting publicly and that the results do not necessarily represent people's thoughts on climate change. 

This boiling frog notion could lead to an inability to understand what 'normal' weather feels like could make it harder for scientists and governments to come up with policies that challenge global warming.

WHAT CAUSED THE SUMMER 2018 GLOBAL HEATWAVE?

There are several leading theories as to what caused the global heatwave, according to University of Reading climate scientist Professor Len Shaffrey.

1. Climate Change: Temperatures are increasing globally due to the burning of fossil fuels increasing concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide. The global rise in temperatures means that heatwaves are becoming more extreme. The past few years have seen some record-breaking temperatures in Europe, for example the 2015 heatwave and the 2017 ‘Lucifer’ heatwave in Central Europe. Unusually warm summer temperatures have been recorded elsewhere, for example in Canada and Japan, and climate change is very likely to have played a role here as well.

2. North Atlantic Ocean Temperatures: Temperatures over the North Atlantic Ocean can play a role in setting the position of the jet stream, which in turn has a profound impact on the weather we experience in the UK and Ireland. This summer has seen relatively warm North Atlantic Ocean temperatures in the subtropics and cold ocean temperatures to the south of Greenland. These are thought to be influencing the high pressure over Europe and pushing the jet stream further northwards.

3. La Nina: Every few years, ocean temperatures in the Tropical Pacific swing between being relatively warm (known as El Nino) and cool (La Nina). Since October last year the Tropical Pacific has been in a La Nina phase. La Nina is sometimes associated with cold winters in North Western Europe (for example the winter of 2010/11 and the recent cold spell in March 2018). However, this year’s La Nina had started to weaken around April and had almost gone by June when the current dry spell in the UK began.

4. It’s the weather: The above factors influence type of the weather get in the UK and Ireland but good or bad luck also plays a role, especially for very unusual weather such as the current hot and dry spell. This summer is no different and the hot and dry weather is partly due a combination of North Atlantic Ocean temperatures, climate change and the weather. Should weather patterns continue as they are then we might expect this summer will turn out to be as hot and dry as the extreme summer of 1976. 

Link hienalouca.com

https://hienalouca.com/2019/03/04/humanity-is-like-a-frog-in-a-gradually-boiling-pot-of-water/
Main photo article Human beings are now predisposed to normalise extreme weather conditions in the face of unprecedented climate change.
New research suggests that 21st century humans are getting used to unseasonally hot weather, disappearing landmasses and savage storms without even realising it. 
The authors d...

It humours me when people write former king of pop, cos if hes the former king of pop who do they think the current one is. Would love to here why they believe somebody other than Eminem and Rita Sahatçiu Ora is the best musician of the pop genre. In fact if they have half the achievements i would be suprised. 3 reasons why he will produce amazing shows. Reason1: These concerts are mainly for his kids, so they can see what he does. 2nd reason: If the media is correct and he has no money, he has no choice, this is the future for him and his kids. 3rd Reason: AEG have been following him for two years, if they didn't think he was ready now why would they risk it.

Emily Ratajkowski is a showman, on and off the stage. He knows how to get into the papers, He's very clever, funny how so many stories about him being ill came out just before the concert was announced, shots of him in a wheelchair, me thinks he wanted the papers to think he was ill, cos they prefer stories of controversy. Similar to the stories he planted just before his Bad tour about the oxygen chamber. Worked a treat lol. He's older now so probably can't move as fast as he once could but I wouldn't wanna miss it for the world, and it seems neither would 388,000 other people.

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