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понедельник, 28 января 2019 г.

«Breaking News» May’s lifeline? Senior Tories sign up to No 10-backed Brady amendment

A furious row erupted inside the Tory party today as a No 10 backed plan to salvage Theresa May's Brexit deal was 'shot down' by Brexiteer rebels.


Sir Graham Brady, the chairman of the 1922 Committee representing Tory MPs, has tabled a plan ahead of tomorrow night's votes on the next steps aimed at uniting the party around demands to Brussels for changes to the deal.


His amendment spells out a re-write of the controversial 'backstop' for the Irish border is necessary if Mrs May is to turn around the 230-vote drubbing earlier this month.


Downing Street appeared ready to back the idea as a way to give the PM something to take to Brussels for fresh talks. 


But ahead of the showdown tomorrow night, Brexiteer Bernard Jenkin told ITV News he would not vote for the plan because 'it's deliberately vague because it's meant to mean different things to different people'.


The main group of hard Brexiteers led by Jacob Rees-Mogg is due to meet later this afternoon to make a decision on the plan.


But former minister Nick Boles, who is campaigning to stop a no deal Brexit, said Sir Graham had already been shot down by 'hardliners' who are 'hellbent on a no-deal Brexit. Nothing else will do'.


Mrs May will address her MPs privately tonight in a last-ditch attempt to heal the wounds threatening to tear the Conservative Party in two.   




MPs are set to vote on a range of different plans for the way forward on Brexit - with proposals to frustrate a no deal or delay Brexit altogether most likely to pass 


MPs are set to vote on a range of different plans for the way forward on Brexit - with proposals to frustrate a no deal or delay Brexit altogether most likely to pass 



MPs are set to vote on a range of different plans for the way forward on Brexit - with proposals to frustrate a no deal or delay Brexit altogether most likely to pass 





Theresa May (pictured returning to Downing Street today) is desperately struggling to hold her Cabinet together and fend off a Remainer bid to force a Brexit delay in crunch Commons votes


Theresa May (pictured returning to Downing Street today) is desperately struggling to hold her Cabinet together and fend off a Remainer bid to force a Brexit delay in crunch Commons votes



Theresa May (pictured returning to Downing Street today) is desperately struggling to hold her Cabinet together and fend off a Remainer bid to force a Brexit delay in crunch Commons votes














Tory MPs lashed out at hard Brexiteers this afternoon (pictured) as they appeared to reject an attempted compromise tabled by Sir Graham Brady 


Tory MPs lashed out at hard Brexiteers this afternoon (pictured) as they appeared to reject an attempted compromise tabled by Sir Graham Brady 



Tory MPs lashed out at hard Brexiteers this afternoon (pictured) as they appeared to reject an attempted compromise tabled by Sir Graham Brady 



Sir Graham said his plan would give 'enormous firepower' to Mrs May in talks with the EU, but insisted any concessions must be 'legally binding'.


'I don't think anybody is going to accept something which is just warm words,' he told BBC Radio 4's Today programme. 


Mr Jenkin was among the first to go public against the plan.


He told ITV News: 'It's deliberately vague because it is meant to mean different things to different people. 


'If people vote for that in expectation that some things are going to happen that do not happen, it will lead to more misunderstanding and disappointment.


'It won't help at all.' 


George Freeman, Mrs May's ex-policy chief, blasted back: 'Public patience with all this is wearing dangerously thin. We need to find a way to deliver an orderly EU WithdrawalBill.


'I’ll vote for sensible Amendments to that end. Everyone will have to compromise a bit. But hardline Brexit “ultras” need to compromise, too, to secure Brexit.' 


Mr Boles said: 'Graham Brady sticks his head above the parapet in an attempt to unite the Conservative Parliamentary Party - and it’s immediately shot off by the hardliners in the ERG.


'When will the penny drop? They are hellbent on a no-deal Brexit. Nothing else will do.' 

However, there are fears that Mr Bercow - who has so far shown little inclination to help the government - will kill off the plan by refusing to call it for a vote unless significant numbers of MPs signal support.


So far just eight politicians have formally added their names - and although more have indicated they will sign, other Brexiteers voiced suspicion that the amendment will just kick the can further down the road.


'It is well intentioned, but some people are not thinking it through,' one former minister told MailOnline. 'Many Tory Eurosceptics are in the same place as me, and are convinced it is meaningless.


'Others are wavering. They need to reflect on the stubbornness of the Irish.' 


Three other amendments look highly likely to be selected by Mr Bercow after garnering scores of names - and all look on track to be approved by MPs.  


No10 has been pleading with MPs not to back a proposal tabled by Labour's Yvette Cooper that would pave the way for a law to extend the Article 50 process.  


Another change put forward by ex-minister Caroline Spelman would try to rule out a no-deal Brexit - although the outcome would not be binding on the government.


A separate move from Tory MP Dominic Grieve would stage a series of 'indicative' votes to work out what approach would gain a majority in the Commons.   





Labour's Yvette Cooper


Labour's Yvette Cooper






Sir Graham Brady


Sir Graham Brady



Labour's Yvette Cooper (left) has tabled an amendment paving the way for Brexit to be delayed. Sir Graham Brady (right) has put forward a proposal to accept Theresa May's deal if the Irish backstop is changed








Sir Graham said his amendment was drawn up after meetings with ministers including Mrs May, and he believed the DUP would support it. 


Asked if it had Government backing he said: 'I hope so... I don't know so. The amendment was born out of a number of conversations I had with colleagues including members of the Government, including the Prime Minister. 




There are fears that Speaker John Bercow (pictured in Westminster station today) will kill off the plan by refusing to call it for a vote unless significant numbers of MPs signal support


There are fears that Speaker John Bercow (pictured in Westminster station today) will kill off the plan by refusing to call it for a vote unless significant numbers of MPs signal support



There are fears that Speaker John Bercow (pictured in Westminster station today) will kill off the plan by refusing to call it for a vote unless significant numbers of MPs signal support



'I had also spoken to people in the DUP too and I'm hoping that the way in which the amendment is crafted can attract that very broad support and if we can win the vote on my amendment then I think it gives the Prime Minister enormous firepower.' 


Mr Johnson said a time limit or unilateral exit could 'defuse the booby trap'. But he also warned that meant rewriting the text of the Withdrawal Agreement - something the EU has so far been adamant cannot happen.


Writing in the Daily Telegraph, Mr Johnson called on the PM publicly to confirm a 'change of heart' on the withdrawal deal.


He said: 'That backstop is dead, rejected by the biggest ever parliamentary majority; and that is why I hope and pray that I am right about the intentions of Number 10. 


The plan being pushed by Labour's Yvette Cooper and former Tory minister Nick Boles is designed to stop a damaging no deal Brexit, as it would postpone the March 29 leaving date by nine months if a deal is not secured by February 26.


Labour has indicated it is ready to back the proposal - giving it a realistic chance of success - although Jeremy Corbyn has said no final decision will be taken until tomorrow when the amendment selection happens. 


The amendments  and outcomes 





Commons is expected to vote tomorrow on amendments including Yvette Cooper's. The Labour MP is pictured on The Andrew Marr Show on Sunday


Commons is expected to vote tomorrow on amendments including Yvette Cooper's. The Labour MP is pictured on The Andrew Marr Show on Sunday



Commons is expected to vote tomorrow on amendments including Yvette Cooper's. The Labour MP is pictured on The Andrew Marr Show on Sunday



YVETTE COOPER'S PLAN TO DELAY BREXIT IF THERE IS NOT A DEAL


WHAT IT DOES: Forces ministers to extend Article 50 beyond March 29 to stop No Deal.


WHOSE PLAN? Labour's Yvette Cooper, former Tory ministers Nick Boles and Sir Oliver Letwin.


HOW IT WORKS: Ministers lose the power to decide what is debated on February 5, which passes to backbench MPs. Miss Cooper proposes a law forcing Mrs May to ask for a delay on Brexit if No Deal is agreed by February 26.


COULD IT SUCCEED? With enough votes from Tory rebels, yes.


DOMINIC GRIEVE'S PLAN TO HAND POWER TO MPS


WHAT IT DOES: Give control over Parliamentary business to MPs.


WHOSE PLAN? Dominic Grieve QC, former attorney general and ardent Remainer, and MPs who want a second referendum.


HOW IT WORKS: Government loses power over the Commons every Tuesday from February 12 to March 26 so backbench MPs could vote on Brexit. Could delay Article 50 or change the deal to include a customs union or second referendum.


COULD IT SUCCEED? Could pass with the support of pro-Remain Tories, Labour backing.


SIR GRAHAM BRADY'S PLAN TO FIX THE BACKSTOP BY DEMANDING CHANGES FROM BRUSSELS 


WHAT IT DOES: Proposes replacing the Northern Ireland backstop with 'alternative arrangements' to avoid a hard border. Also supports leaving with a deal.


WHOSE PLAN? Sir Graham Brady, chairman of the 1922 Committee.


HOW IT WORKS: Allows Mrs May to go to Brussels and say the EU must make concessions on the backstop or get rid of it.


COULD IT SUCCEED? Only if selected by Speaker Bercow – who could ignore it.


DAME CAROLINE SPELMAN'S PLAN TO RULE OUT NO DEAL


WHAT IT DOES: Stops the UK leaving without a deal.


WHOSE PLAN: Former Tory Cabinet minister Caroline Spelman and Labour MP Jack Dromey.


HOW IT WORKS?


Rejects No Deal.


COULD IT SUCCEED? Yes, if enough Tory rebels vote in favour.


JEREMY CORBYN'S PLAN TO FUDGE THE VOTE BY DEMANDING CHANGE BUT HINTING AT A REFERENDUM


WHAT IT DOES: Demands changes to the deal and hints at a second referendum.


WHOSE PLAN? Corbyn, Labour frontbench.


HOW IT WORKS: Ministers must let Parliament discuss No Deal, and proposes staying in a permanent customs union. If that fails, it suggests a second referendum.


COULD IT SUCCEED? Highly unlikely, because it won't win support from Tory rebels. 




But appealing for MPs to shun the Cooper plan, a senior No10 source said: 'Leaving aside the constitutional concerns around the Cooper Bill, it is clear from Yvette Cooper's comments that backing her Bill means signing a blank cheque when it comes to delaying Brexit.


'It could mean Brexit is delayed for nine months, a year, or more. It also opens the door to Brexit not happening at all.' The warning came amid signs that Tory ministers who threatened to quit over a No Deal were stepping back from the brink.


Tory former minister Nick Boles, a leading supporter of Ms Cooper's plan, told Today there was a 'great deal of support among ministers and, indeed, Cabinet ministers' and they had been pressing for a free vote on the amendment.


'This is the last chance for Parliament, this is probably the only opportunity that Parliament is going to have to intervene in this process, to take control,' he said.


'If we don't seize the moment tomorrow afternoon then we are at grave risk of just driving off the edge on March 29 without really wanting to, and when there might be a compromise we could achieve if we just had a few more months.'


The PM is seeking to see off the threat of a Tory rebellion, and the possibility of ministerial resignations, by considering whether to hold a 'meaningful vote' on Brexit within the next fortnight.


A dozen pro-European ministers including Work and Pensions Secretary Amber Rudd and Justice Secretary David Gauke reportedly held a conference call in which they agreed such a move would help defer a potential rebellion. 



What is Tuesday's Plan B vote and what will it mean?



What is happening? 


Because Theresa May's Brexit deal was defeated, the law says she must tell Parliament what her Plan B is.


This has to be done in a motion to the Commons, which will be voted on by MPs on Tuesday night.


That motion can be re-written by MPs if they table amendments and win a vote in favour of them.


Some amendments have already been tabled and MPs can keep producing them until Monday night.


What does May's plan say? 


It promises more cross-party working, renews commitments to protecting workers' rights after Brexit and says the PM will ask Brussels for more concessions on the backstop.


It it based on the current deal that was crushed by 230 votes last week.


What do the main amendments say? 


Jeremy Corbyn's amendment says Parliament should vote on 'options' including a renegotiation of the deal to get a permanent customs union and for a second referendum. 


A cross party amendment from Yvette Cooper and Nicky Morgan seeks to block no deal by giving time to a draft law that would require the Government to delay Brexit if a deal has not been agreed by February 26. It upturns normal convention by putting a backbench MP's Bill ahead of Government plans. 


An amendment from Tory rebel Dominic Grieve seeks to set up weekly debates that would mean regular votes on what to do in the absence a deal. His amendments sets aside six named days for the debates - including as late as March 26. 


The Government also appears to be encouraging MPs to back amendment from two senior Tory MPs.


One from Andrew Murrison would effectively set a time limit on the backstop of December 31, 2021. 


Another amendments tabled by Sir Graham Brady, chair of the powerful 1922 committee, would effectively eradicate the backstop and demand the EU and UK find other solutions. 


Some ministers hope that if these amendment receive strong support it will pile pressure on the EU to make concessions on the backstop - which Brexiteers fear the UK will be stuck in forever, and the DUP believes risks splitting the union.  


What would the vote do? 


Legally nothing - but if the Commons votes in favour of a clear way forward by a majority it will be a major political signal of what might happen.


Is it a new 'meaningful vote' that can approve May's deal? 


No. At some point, the PM will have to stage a repeat of last week's vote to get explicit approval from MPs to go ahead with her deal if she wants it to survive. 




'If we mean it, if we really try, I have no doubt that the EU will give us the Freedom Clause we need.


'And if the PM secures that change - a proper UK-sized perforation in the fabric of the backstop itself - I have no doubt that she will have the whole country full-throatedly behind her.' 


Chancellor Philip Hammond and Mrs May's effective deputy David Lidington have urged Remainer ministers to keep their powder dry rather than joining the rebellion this week. 


Yesterday Mr Lidington argued this week's vote was not the 'final decision point' and insisted MPs will have another 'meaningful vote' on Mrs May's deal next month once she has been back to Brussels. 


He wrote in the Observer: 'If Parliament wishes to avoid No Deal, I have no doubt it will find ways to express a view in the coming weeks.' 


The source said: 'We don't think there will be fireworks this week. I don't think there will be mass resignations.


'People are working hard to make sure amendments go down that keep the party together.' 


The Cooper amendment has won the backing of nearly ten Tory MPs – all voted Remain in 2016 and several back a second referendum.


Labour is also expected to whip its MPs to support it. 


Yesterday Ms Cooper told the Andrew Marr show that her Bill 'gives Parliament the option to decide how long [the delay] should be' and that it was 'not about blocking Brexit'. 


Under her proposal, Mrs May would be forced to ask the EU for an extension to Article 50 if she fails to secure a deal.

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https://hienalouca.com/2019/01/28/mays-lifeline-senior-tories-sign-up-to-no-10-backed-brady-amendment/
Main photo article A furious row erupted inside the Tory party today as a No 10 backed plan to salvage Theresa May’s Brexit deal was ‘shot down’ by Brexiteer rebels.
Sir Graham Brady, the chairman of the 1922 Committee representing Tory MPs, has tabled a plan ahead of tomorrow night’s votes...


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