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среда, 23 января 2019 г.

«Breaking News» Tory chiefs 'warn May that Jeremy Corbyn would end up as PM' if she calls a snap election

Tory chiefs are said to have warned Theresa May that Jeremy Corbyn would end up as PM if she calls a snap general election. 


Some Cabinet ministers are understood to be braced for an election 'sooner rather than later' as the political crisis over Brexit gathers pace.


But internal Conservative polling is said to suggest that the party could lose its grip on power if there was a poll now - with Labour instead best placed to head up a 'rainbow coalition' with the SNP and Lib Dems.  


Senior figures have also reportedly voiced alarm that the Tories are totally unprepared for a contest, with no up-to-date voting register, activists badly demoralised, and a backlash from middle-class Remainers putting heartlands at risk.


The grim warnings emerged as Mrs May and Mr Corbyn again clashed bitterly over Brexit at PMQs, ahead of the next crunch vote on Tuesday when pro-EU rebels are expected to pave the way for delaying Article 50. 







Tory bosses are on high alert for Theresa May (pictured in Downing Street today) to call the vote if she cannot get her Brexit deal through Parliament at a second attempt.








Tory chiefs are said to have warned Theresa May that Jeremy Corbyn (pictured) would end up as PM if she calls a snap general election





Boris Johnson (pictured in Downing Street today) is among those jockeying to take over from Mrs May


Boris Johnson (pictured in Downing Street today) is among those jockeying to take over from Mrs May



Boris Johnson (pictured in Downing Street today) is among those jockeying to take over from Mrs May


Mrs May's 2017 snap election campaign was branded the worst ever waged by the party, and saw her stripped of her majority after losing a 20-point lead.


The PM has repeatedly ruled out calling another snap election, and many Tory MPs fear they could lose their seats if she is still in charge when one happens - with Boris Johnson among those jockeying to take over. 


But others are becoming convinced an election is preferable to another EU referendum.



What is Tuesday's Plan B vote and what will it mean?



What is happening? 


Because Theresa May's Brexit deal was defeated, the law says she must tell Parliament what her Plan B is.


This has to be done in a motion to the Commons, which will be voted on by MPs next Tuesday night.


That motion can be re-written by MPs if they table amendments and win a vote in favour of them.


Some amendments have already been tabled and MPs can keep producing them until Monday night.


What does May's plan say? 


It promises more cross-party working, renews commitments to protecting workers' rights after Brexit and says the PM will ask Brussels for more concessions on the backstop.


It it based on the current deal that was crushed by 230 votes last week.


What do the main amendments say? 


Jeremy Corbyn's amendment says Parliament should vote on 'options' including a renegotiation of the deal to get a permanent customs union and for a second referendum. 


A cross party amendment from Yvette Cooper and Nicky Morgan seeks to block no deal by giving time to a draft law that would require the Government to delay Brexit if a deal has not been agreed by February 26. It upturns normal convention by putting a backbench MP's Bill ahead of Government plans. 


An amendment from Tory rebel Dominic Grieve seeks to set up weekly debates that would mean regular votes on what to do in the absence a deal. His amendments sets aside six named days for the debates - including as late as March 26. 


What would the vote do? 


Legally nothing - but if the Commons votes in favour of a clear way forward by a majority it will be a major political signal of what might happen.


Is it a new 'meaningful vote' that can approve May's deal? 


No. At some point, the PM will have to stage a repeat of last week's vote to get explicit approval from MPs to go ahead with her deal if she wants it to survive. 




One Cabinet source told MailOnline: 'It's hard to see how this goes on much longer even if the deal eventually goes through.


'The question is going to be whether she leads us into it.'


A Tory former minister said they believed an election was looking increasingly likely.


They suggested it could be attractive for Mrs May because winning a national vote would 'banish the demons' of her dire performance in 2017. 


According to analysis by centre-right think-tank Onward and seen by The Sun, 40 of the 317 seats the Tories won in that election are held by a margin of 5 per cent or smaller.


There are 20 seats where the Conservatives have a margin of under 2.5 per cent.


Nine Tory MPs won with a majority smaller than 1 per cent.


Mr Corbyn needs to win 30 more seats for Labour to become the largest party in a hung Parliament. 


In the Commons this afternoon, Mr Corbyn called on Mrs May to rule out no-deal Brexit and open the door to a permanent customs union with the EU.


But Mrs May said that while the Labour leader was willing in the past to meet with Hamas, Hezbollah and the IRA, he had refused to meet her to discuss Brexit.


Mr Corbyn said: 'The Chancellor and Business Secretary agree - and I quote - there is a large majority in the Commons opposed to no-deal.


'So will the Prime Minister listen to her own Cabinet ministers and take no-deal off the table?'


Mrs May said the whole Government was 'working to ensure that we leave the EU with a deal - and that is the way to avoid no-deal'.


She added: 'The Right Honourable Gentleman has been willing to sit down with Hamas, Hezbollah and the IRA without preconditions, yet he won't meet me to talk about Brexit.'


In a swipe at Mr Corbyn's explanation of photos showing him holding a wreath at a cemetery holding the graves of Palestinian fighters, Mrs May said: 'In this case, he's neither present nor involved.' 


Mrs May said extending Article 50 would not resolve any issues as MPs would reach a point when they had to decide if they want no deal, a deal or no Brexit.


She said the exit date of March 29 was not 'arbitrary' and told MPs: 'Extending Article 50, I don't believe, resolves any issues because at some point members of this House have to decide whether they want to have a no-deal situation, agree a deal or have no Brexit.'




A series of amendment have been tabled ahead of the next round of showdown votes in the Commons as Parliament wrestles with the Government for control of Brexit 


A series of amendment have been tabled ahead of the next round of showdown votes in the Commons as Parliament wrestles with the Government for control of Brexit 



A series of amendment have been tabled ahead of the next round of showdown votes in the Commons as Parliament wrestles with the Government for control of Brexit 



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https://hienalouca.com/2019/01/23/tory-chiefs-warn-may-that-jeremy-corbyn-would-end-up-as-pm-if-she-calls-a-snap-election/
Main photo article Tory chiefs are said to have warned Theresa May that Jeremy Corbyn would end up as PM if she calls a snap general election. 
Some Cabinet ministers are understood to be braced for an election ‘sooner rather than later’ as the political crisis over Brexit gathers pace.
But internal ...


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Dianne Reeves Online news HienaLouca





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