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четверг, 31 января 2019 г.

«Breaking News» Fears rise 'world's most dangerous glacier' could soon collapse

A gigantic cavity two-thirds the area of Manhattan and almost 1,000 feet (300 meters) tall has been found growing at the bottom of Thwaites Glacier in West Antarctica.


About the size of Florida, Thwaites Glacier is currently responsible for approximately 4 percent of global sea level rise. 


It holds enough ice to raise the world ocean a little over 2 feet (65 centimeters) and backstops neighboring glaciers that would raise sea levels an additional 8 feet (2.4 meters) if all the ice were lost.


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About the size of Florida, Thwaites Glacier is currently responsible for approximately 4 percent of global sea level rise. A gigantic cavity two-thirds the area of Manhattan and almost 1,000 feet (300 meters) tall has been found growing at the bottom of it.


About the size of Florida, Thwaites Glacier is currently responsible for approximately 4 percent of global sea level rise. A gigantic cavity two-thirds the area of Manhattan and almost 1,000 feet (300 meters) tall has been found growing at the bottom of it.



About the size of Florida, Thwaites Glacier is currently responsible for approximately 4 percent of global sea level rise. A gigantic cavity two-thirds the area of Manhattan and almost 1,000 feet (300 meters) tall has been found growing at the bottom of it.



The giant cavity is just one of several disturbing discoveries reported in a new NASA-led study of the disintegrating glacier. 


Researchers expected to find some gaps between ice and bedrock at Thwaites' bottom where ocean water could flow in and melt the glacier from below. 


However, the size and 'explosive growth rate'  of the newfound hole surprised them. 




Changes in surface height at Thwaites Glacier's grounding line, 2011 to 2017, with sinking areas in red and rising areas in blue. The growing cavity (red mass, center) caused the greatest sinking. The mottled area (bottom left) is the site of extensive calving. Contours show bedrock topography.


NASA says the cavity is big enough to have contained 14 billion tons of ice, and most of that ice melted over the last three years.


'We have suspected for years that Thwaites was not tightly attached to the bedrock beneath it,' said Eric Rignot of the University of California, Irvine, and NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California. Rignot is a co-author of the new study, which was published today in Science Advances. 


'Thanks to a new generation of satellites, we can finally see the detail,' he said.


The findings highlight the need for detailed observations of Antarctic glaciers' undersides in calculating how fast global sea levels will rise in response to climate change, researchers say.


The cavity was revealed by ice-penetrating radar in NASA's Operation IceBridge, an airborne campaign beginning in 2010 that studies connections between the polar regions and the global climate. 




A view from a NASA airplane of large icebergs that have broken from the calving side of Thwaites Glacier in Antarctica in November 2014. A disaster scenario of West Antarctic ice sheet disintegration could occur much sooner than previously thought, new research suggests.


A view from a NASA airplane of large icebergs that have broken from the calving side of Thwaites Glacier in Antarctica in November 2014. A disaster scenario of West Antarctic ice sheet disintegration could occur much sooner than previously thought, new research suggests.



A view from a NASA airplane of large icebergs that have broken from the calving side of Thwaites Glacier in Antarctica in November 2014. A disaster scenario of West Antarctic ice sheet disintegration could occur much sooner than previously thought, new research suggests.



The researchers also used data from a constellation of Italian and German spaceborne synthetic aperture radars.


These very high-resolution data can be processed by a technique called radar interferometry to reveal how the ground surface below has moved between images.


'[The size of] a cavity under a glacier plays an important role in melting,' said the study's lead author, Pietro Milillo of JPL. 'As more heat and water get under the glacier, it melts faster.'


Numerical models of ice sheets use a fixed shape to represent a cavity under the ice, rather than allowing the cavity to change and grow. 


The new discovery implies that this limitation most likely causes those models to underestimate how fast Thwaites is losing ice.



THE RETREAT OF THE THWAITES GLACIER



The Thwaites glacier is slightly smaller than the total size of the UK, approximately the same size as the state of Washington, and is located in the Amundsen Sea.


It is up to 4,000 metres (13,100 feet thick) and is considered a key in making projections of global sea level rise.


The glacier is retreating in the face of the warming ocean and is thought to be unstable because its interior lies more than two kilometres (1.2 miles) below sea level while, at the coast, the bottom of the glacier is quite shallow.




The Thwaites glacier is the size of Florida and is located in the Amundsen Sea. It is up to 4,000 meters thick and is considered a key in making projections of global sea level rise


The Thwaites glacier is the size of Florida and is located in the Amundsen Sea. It is up to 4,000 meters thick and is considered a key in making projections of global sea level rise



The Thwaites glacier is the size of Florida and is located in the Amundsen Sea. It is up to 4,000 meters thick and is considered a key in making projections of global sea level rise



The Thwaites glacier has experienced significant flow acceleration since the 1970s.


From 1992 to 2011, the centre of the Thwaites grounding line retreated by nearly 14 kilometres (nine miles).


Annual ice discharge from this region as a whole has increased 77 percent since 1973.


Because its interior connects to the vast portion of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet that lies deeply below sea level, the glacier is considered a gateway to the majority of West Antarctica’s potential sea level contribution.


The collapse of the Thwaites Glacier would cause an increase of global sea level of between one and two metres (three and six feet), with the potential for more than twice that from the entire West Antarctic Ice Sheet.





















 


The U.S. National Science Foundation and British National Environmental Research Council are mounting a five-year field project to answer the most critical questions about its processes and features. 


The International Thwaites Glacier Collaboration will begin its field experiments in the Southern Hemisphere summer of 2019-20.


Another changing feature is a glacier's grounding line — the place near the edge of the continent where it lifts off its bed and starts to float on seawater. 


Many Antarctic glaciers extend for miles beyond their grounding lines, floating out over the open ocean.


Just as a grounded boat can float again when the weight of its cargo is removed, a glacier that loses ice weight can float over land where it used to stick. When this happens, the grounding line retreats inland. That exposes more of a glacier's underside to sea water, increasing the likelihood its melt rate will accelerate. 




Close look at the Thwaites Ice Shelf edge as seen from the IceBridge DC-8 on Oct. 16, 2012. The blue areas of ice are denser, compressed ice. Credit: NASA / James Yungel, more info A Block Of Thwaites NASA's Operation IceBridge is an airborne science mission to study Earth's polar ice.


Close look at the Thwaites Ice Shelf edge as seen from the IceBridge DC-8 on Oct. 16, 2012. The blue areas of ice are denser, compressed ice. Credit: NASA / James Yungel, more info A Block Of Thwaites NASA's Operation IceBridge is an airborne science mission to study Earth's polar ice.



Close look at the Thwaites Ice Shelf edge as seen from the IceBridge DC-8 on Oct. 16, 2012. The blue areas of ice are denser, compressed ice. Credit: NASA / James Yungel, more info A Block Of Thwaites NASA's Operation IceBridge is an airborne science mission to study Earth's polar ice.





About the size of Florida, Thwaites Glacier is currently responsible for approximately 4 percent of global sea level rise. It holds enough ice to raise the world ocean a little over 2 feet (65 centimeters) and backstops neighboring glaciers that would raise sea levels an additional 8 feet (2.4 meters) if all the ice were lost.


About the size of Florida, Thwaites Glacier is currently responsible for approximately 4 percent of global sea level rise. It holds enough ice to raise the world ocean a little over 2 feet (65 centimeters) and backstops neighboring glaciers that would raise sea levels an additional 8 feet (2.4 meters) if all the ice were lost.



About the size of Florida, Thwaites Glacier is currently responsible for approximately 4 percent of global sea level rise. It holds enough ice to raise the world ocean a little over 2 feet (65 centimeters) and backstops neighboring glaciers that would raise sea levels an additional 8 feet (2.4 meters) if all the ice were lost.



For Thwaites, 'We are discovering different mechanisms of retreat,' Millilo said. Different processes at various parts of the 100-mile-long (160-kilometer-long) front of the glacier are putting the rates of grounding-line retreat and of ice loss out of sync.


The huge cavity is under the main trunk of the glacier on its western side — the side farther from the West Antarctic Peninsula. 


In this region, as the tide rises and falls, the grounding line retreats and advances across a zone of about 2 to 3 miles (3 to 5 kilometers). 


The glacier has been coming unstuck from a ridge in the bedrock at a steady rate of about 0.4 to 0.5 miles (0.6 to 0.8 kilometers) a year since 1992. 



















Despite this stable rate of grounding-line retreat, the melt rate on this side of the glacier is extremely high.


'On the eastern side of the glacier, the grounding-line retreat proceeds through small channels, maybe a kilometer wide, like fingers reaching beneath the glacier to melt it from below,' Milillo said. 


In that region, the rate of grounding-line retreat doubled from about 0.4 miles (0.6 kilometers) a year from 1992 to 2011 to 0.8 miles (1.2 kilometers) a year from 2011 to 2017. 


Even with this accelerating retreat, however, melt rates on this side of the glacier are lower than on the western side.


These results highlight that ice-ocean interactions are more complex than previously understood. 



$20M MISSION TO STUDY THE THWAITES GLACIER WITH BOATY MCBOATFACE 



The UK's Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) and the National Science Foundation (NSF) of the US have launched a £20 million ($27.5m) mission to study it. 


With the help of more than 100 scientists, they want to work out how quickly it could collapse and how that would impact global sea levels. 


A fleet of research ships - including the infamous British ship dubbed Boaty McBoatface -  will be sent to the West Antarctic region later this year. 



















Their new mission is the biggest joint project by the US and UK in Antarctica since the 1940s.


NERC and the NSF will deploy scientists through eight large-scale projects to gather the data needed to understand whether the glacier's collapse could begin in the next few decades or centuries.


Other countries involved in the research include South Korea, Germany, Sweden, New Zealand and Finland. 


Scientists on the ground will use sophisticated equipment to collect the data needed to measure rates of ice volume and ice mass change.


 


 




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https://hienalouca.com/2019/01/31/fears-rise-worlds-most-dangerous-glacier-could-soon-collapse/
Main photo article A gigantic cavity two-thirds the area of Manhattan and almost 1,000 feet (300 meters) tall has been found growing at the bottom of Thwaites Glacier in West Antarctica.
About the size of Florida, Thwaites Glacier is currently responsible for approximately 4 percent of global sea level rise. 
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