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среда, 28 ноября 2018 г.

«Breaking News» Five all-day sittings in the Commons are planned before members vote on Theresa May’s deal

MPs will vote on Theresa May's Brexit deal after a marathon five-day debate in Parliament.


The House of Commons will debate the deal secured by the Prime Minister before the all-important vote on December 11.


MPs will be able to put down six amendments to the Government's key 'meaningful vote' Brexit motion under plans unveiled for the crunch Commons showdown.


The debates themselves will last for eight hours a day, a total of forty hours, and are sure to be lively as the Prime Minister battles to secure a majority to back her plans.




Prime Minister Theresa May- visiting Bridge of Weir outside Glasgow today- will be praying she faces an easier time in the upcoming debates in the Commons than she did when she faced off against MPs earlier this week


Prime Minister Theresa May- visiting Bridge of Weir outside Glasgow today- will be praying she faces an easier time in the upcoming debates in the Commons than she did when she faced off against MPs earlier this week



Prime Minister Theresa May- visiting Bridge of Weir outside Glasgow today- will be praying she faces an easier time in the upcoming debates in the Commons than she did when she faced off against MPs earlier this week



Labour has tabled its amendment to the Government motion saying it aims to stop a 'botched Brexit'.


Labour's amendment also says it opposes a no deal withdrawal, and 'resolves to pursue every option' that prevents such a scenario.


Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn said: 'Labour will oppose Theresa May's botched Brexit deal that puts jobs, rights and people's livelihoods at risk.


'There is a sensible deal that could win the support of Parliament, based on a comprehensive customs union, with a British say in future trade deals, and a strong single market deal that protects rights at work and environmental safeguards and helps us to rebuild our economy and expand our public services.


'However, Theresa May's worst of all worlds deal is miles away from delivering that.


'It is a miserable failure of negotiation by a Government that has wasted the last two years fighting with itself, rather than securing a better deal with the EU.'




Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, pictured at Prime Minister's Questions, has already said they will 'oppose Theresa May's botched Brexit deal'


Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, pictured at Prime Minister's Questions, has already said they will 'oppose Theresa May's botched Brexit deal'



Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, pictured at Prime Minister's Questions, has already said they will 'oppose Theresa May's botched Brexit deal'



Responding to the Labour move, Conservative Party chairman Brandon Lewis said: 'This is shameful and irresponsible behaviour, Labour are objecting to the Brexit deal the Prime Minister has negotiated without any constructive alternative of their own.


'All they are interested in is trying to force a general election.


'When it comes to this historic decision they are putting narrow party interest ahead of the national interest.


'And while they claim not to want no deal, by appearing to reject a temporary backstop, Labour are effectively advocating for it.


The amendment states the party cannot support the agreement as it fails to provide for a customs union and 'strong single market' deal.


The Commons will debate the EU agreement on December 4, 5, 6, 10 and 11.






Bank Governor Mark Carney said the impact of Brexit would depend entirely on whether there was a deal but said he had a responsibility to set out might happen 



The timescale means Mrs May has roughly fortnight to convince Tory rebels to back her, with the prospect of a humiliating defeat currently looking likely.


Today, John McDonnell said Labour will back a second referendum if Theresa May's deal fails and there is not another General Election. 


Labour have previously said that 'all options' are on the table if the Brexit divorce deal is voted down, as expected, next month. 


It comes as Mrs May could be set to face off with Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn in a televised debate in a run up to the vote on December 11.


Mrs May laid down the gauntlet to Mr Corbyn this week as she battles to get her controversial package through the Commons.


 She said she would prove: 'I have got a plan, he hasn't got a plan'.


However, the idea has been thrown into doubt again after Ms Sturgeon and a slew of other leaders of smaller parties said they wanted - with the prospect of legal challenges if broadcasters leave them out.


Theresa May's two week charm offensive comes after Bank of England governor Mark Carney  said the impact of Brexit would depend entirely on whether there was a deal but said he had a duty to spell out what might happen. 


Mr Carney said the Bank's job was not to 'hope for the best but prepare for the worst' - but his blood-curdling claims will enrage Brexiteers.


The figures are contained in a 'worst case scenario' published by the Bank which suggests in a last-minute no deal, no transition Brexit Britain's GDP could plunge rapidly by 8 per cent - much worse than the 2008 financial crisis.


Is May's deal already sunk? More than 90 Tories have already come out against it meaning she must find almost 100 votes from Brexiteer rebels, DUP and Labour to get it through the Commons



Theresa May has secured her deal in Brussels but her fight to get it actually in place in time for Brexit day is just beginning.


The 'meaningful vote' promised to MPs will happen on December 11 and is the single biggest hurdle to the Brexit deal happening - and Mrs May' fate as PM.


Mrs May needs at least 318 votes in the Commons if all 650 MPs turns up - but can probably only be confident of around 230 votes.


The number is less than half because the four Speakers, 7 Sinn Fein MPs and four tellers will not take part.


The situation looks grim for Mrs May and her whips: now the deal has been published, more than 90 of her own MPs and the 10 DUP MPs have publicly stated they will join the Opposition parties in voting No.


This means the PM could have as few as 225 votes in her corner - leaving 410 votes on the other side, a landslide majority 185.


This is how the House of Commons might break down:


Mrs May needs at least 318 votes in the Commons if all 650 MPs turns up - but can probably only be confident of around 230 votes.




Mrs May needs at least 318 votes in the Commons if all 650 MPs turns up - but can probably only be confident of around 230 votes.


Mrs May needs at least 318 votes in the Commons if all 650 MPs turns up - but can probably only be confident of around 230 votes.



Mrs May needs at least 318 votes in the Commons if all 650 MPs turns up - but can probably only be confident of around 230 votes.



The Government (plus various hangers-on)


Who are they: All members of the Government are the so-called 'payroll' vote and are obliged to follow the whips orders or resign. It includes the Cabinet, all junior ministers, the whips and unpaid parliamentary aides.


There are also a dozen Tory party 'vice-chairs and 17 MPs appointed by the PM to be 'trade envoys'.


How many of them are there? 178.


What do they want? For the Prime Minister to survive, get her deal and reach exit day with the minimum of fuss.


Many junior ministers want promotion while many of the Cabinet want to be in a position to take the top job when Mrs May goes.


How will they vote? With the Prime Minister.


European Research Group Brexiteers demanding a No Confidence Vote


Who are they: The most hard line of the Brexiteers, they launched a coup against Mrs May after seeing the divorce. Led by Jacob Rees-Mogg and Steve Baker.


How many of them are there: 26


What do they want: The removal of Mrs May and a 'proper Brexit'. Probably no deal now, with hopes for a Canada-style deal later.


How will they vote: Against the Prime Minister.


Other Brexiteers in the ERG


Who are they: There is a large block of Brexiteer Tory MPs who hate the deal but have so far stopped short of moving to remove Mrs May - believing that can destroy the deal instead. They include ex Tory leader Iain Duncan Smith and ex minister Owen Paterson.


Ex ministers like Boris Johnson and David Davis are also in this group - they probably want to replace Mrs May but have not publicly moved against her.


How many of them are there? Around 50.


What do they want? The ERG has said Mrs May should abandon her plans for a unique trade deal and instead negotiate a 'Canada plus plus plus' deal.


This is based on a trade deal signed between the EU and Canada in August 2014 that eliminated 98 per cent of tariffs and taxes charged on goods shipped across the Atlantic.


The EU has long said it would be happy to do a deal based on Canada - but warn it would only work for Great Britain and not Northern Ireland.


How will they vote: Against the Prime Minister.


Remain including the People's Vote supporters


Who are they: Tory MPs who believe the deal is just not good enough for Britain. They include the group of unrepentant Remainers who want a new referendum like Anna Soubry and ex-ministers who quit over the deal including Jo Johnson and Phillip Lee.


How many of them are there: Maybe around 10.


What do they want? To stop Brexit. Some want a new referendum, some think Parliament should step up and say no.


A new referendum would take about six months from start to finish and they group wants Remain as an option on the ballot paper, probably with Mrs May's deal as the alternative.


How will they vote? Against the Prime Minister.


Moderates in the Brexit Delivery Group (BDG) and other Loyalists


Who are they? A newer group, the BDG counts members from across the Brexit divide inside the Tory Party. It includes former minister Nick Boles and MPs including Remainer Simon Hart and Brexiteer Andrew Percy.


There are also lots of unaligned Tory MPs who are desperate to talk about anything else.


How many of them are there? Based on public declarations, about 48 MPs have either said nothing or backed the deal.


What do they want? The BDG prioritises delivering on Brexit and getting to exit day on March 29, 2019, without destroying the Tory Party or the Government. If the PM gets a deal the group will probably vote for it.


It is less interested in the exact form of the deal but many in it have said Mrs May's Chequers plan will not work.


Mr Boles has set out a proposal for Britain to stay in the European Economic Area (EEA) until a free trade deal be negotiated - effectively to leave the EU but stay in close orbit as a member of the single market.


How will they vote? With the Prime Minister.


The DUP


Who are they? The Northern Ireland Party signed up to a 'confidence and supply' agreement with the Conservative Party to prop up the Government.


They are Unionist and say Brexit is good but must not carve Northern Ireland out of the Union.


How many of them are there? 10.


What do they want? A Brexit deal that protects Northern Ireland inside the UK.


How will they vote? Against the Prime Minister on the grounds they believe the deal breaches the red line of a border in the Irish Sea.


Labour Loyalists


Who are they? Labour MPs who are loyal to Jeremy Corbyn and willing to follow his whipping orders.


How many of them are there? Up to 250 MPs depending on exactly what Mr Corbyn orders them to do.


What do they want? Labour policy is to demand a general election and if the Government refuses, 'all options are on the table', including a second referendum.


Labour insists it wants a 'jobs first Brexit' that includes a permanent customs union with the EU. It says it is ready to restart negotiations with the EU with a short extension to the Article 50 process.


The party says Mrs May's deal fails its six tests for being acceptable.


How will they vote? Against the Prime Minister's current deal.


Labour Rebels


Who are they? A mix of MPs totally opposed to Mr Corbyn's leadership, some Labour Leave supporters who want a deal and some MPs who think any deal will do at this point.


How many of them are there? Maybe 10 to 20 MPs but this group is diminishing fast - at least for the first vote on the deal.


What do they want? An orderly Brexit and to spite Mr Corbyn.


How will they vote? With the Prime Minister.


Other Opposition parties


Who are they? The SNP, Liberal Democrats, Plaid Cymru, Green Caroline Lucas and assorted independents.


How many of them are there? About 60 MPs.


How will they vote? Mostly against the Prime Minister - though two of the independents are suspended Tories and two are Brexiteer former Labour MPs. 




Linkhienalouca.com

https://hienalouca.com/2018/11/29/five-all-day-sittings-in-the-commons-are-planned-before-members-vote-on-theresa-mays-deal/
Main photo article MPs will vote on Theresa May‘s Brexit deal after a marathon five-day debate in Parliament.
The House of Commons will debate the deal secured by the Prime Minister before the all-important vote on December 11.
MPs will be able to put down six amendments to the Government’s key...


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Dianne Reeves Online news HienaLouca





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