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среда, 19 сентября 2018 г.

«Breaking News» Theresa May to get 10 minutes to deliver Brexit pitch to EU leaders

Donald Tusk warned that Theresa May must 're-work' her Chequers plan today - hours before she is due to plead with EU leaders to break the deadlock in negotiations.


Speaking as a crucial summit kicked off in Salzburg, the EU council president said there was 'more hope but less time' to strike a Brexit deal.


He said 'some' of Mrs May's plan represented an 'evolution', but effectively dismissed the UK's ideas on the Irish border and future trade. 


The comments underline the challenge Mrs May faces to win over leaders to her point of view at the gathering this evening. 


The premier's hopes of discussing her Chequers plan directly with counterparts for the first time have been dashed, meaning her short speech will be received in silence.


Meanwhile, Michel Barnier has reiterated his demand for Northern Ireland to stay within the EU's customs jurisdiction after Brexit - something the UK has repeatedly ruled out.


The DUP, which is propping the Tories up in power, dismissed the Eurocrat's promise to 'improve' his Irish border solution by using technology to reduce the need for checks.




Speaking as a crucial summit kicked off in Salzburg, EU council president Donald Tusk said there was 'more hope but less time' to strike a Brexit deal


Speaking as a crucial summit kicked off in Salzburg, EU council president Donald Tusk said there was 'more hope but less time' to strike a Brexit deal



Speaking as a crucial summit kicked off in Salzburg, EU council president Donald Tusk said there was 'more hope but less time' to strike a Brexit deal





Theresa May (pictured delivering a speech in London this morning) is heading to Salzburg, where she will address the heads of state of the other EU nations


Theresa May (pictured delivering a speech in London this morning) is heading to Salzburg, where she will address the heads of state of the other EU nations



Theresa May (pictured delivering a speech in London this morning) is heading to Salzburg, where she will address the heads of state of the other EU nations



Despite the stand-off, Mrs May has tried to strike an optimistic tone - insisting her Chequers plan for future relations is the only realistic option on the table.


Mr Tusk was careful to avoid bluntly torpedoing the blueprint at a press conference in Salzburg this afternoon.


'The Brexit negotiations are entering their decisive phase. Various scenarios are still possible today but I'd like to stress that some of Prime Minister May's proposals from Chequers indicated positive evolution in the UK's approach, as well as a will to minimise the negative effects of Brexit,' he said.


'By this I mean, among other things, the readiness to cooperate closely in the area of security and foreign policy.


'On other issues, such as the Irish question or the framework for economic cooperation, the UK’s proposals will need to be reworked and further negotiated.'

'Today there is perhaps more hope but there is surely less and less time,' Mr Tusk said. 


'Every day that is left we must use for talks. I'd like to finalise them still this autumn.'


In an interview before she left for the summit, Mrs May said: 'What I hear from other EU leaders is a recognition of that timetable and a recognition of the importance of showing we can sit down and come to an agreement. 


'I'm not going to be pushed away from doing what is necessary to get the right deal for Britain.


'The plan that is on the table to take us forward, the plan that delivers on the Brexit vote but also protects jobs and maintains the unity of the UK is the Chequers plan. I haven't seen another plan that delivers on all of those.


'I think people want to come together. For most people, they want Brexit done and they want to feel the country at last has come together.


'Neither side can demand the unacceptable of the other, such as an external customs border between different parts of the UK.' 




EU negotiator Michel Barnier (pictured embracing Jean-Claude Juncker in Brussels today) has said he will 'improve' proposals on the Irish border  


EU negotiator Michel Barnier (pictured embracing Jean-Claude Juncker in Brussels today) has said he will 'improve' proposals on the Irish border  



EU negotiator Michel Barnier (pictured embracing Jean-Claude Juncker in Brussels today) has said he will 'improve' proposals on the Irish border  





The Prime Minister, pictured leaving No10 today, is only expected to get ten minutes to deliver her Brexit pitch


The Prime Minister, pictured leaving No10 today, is only expected to get ten minutes to deliver her Brexit pitch


The Prime Minister, pictured leaving No10 today, is only expected to get ten minutes to deliver her Brexit pitch



Mr Barnier renewed his efforts to 'de-dramatise' the Irish border issue last night by saying he was working on a new draft of his blueprint.


Eurocrats have been sounding a more optimistic tone about the way checks can be enforces over recent weeks, including admitting that technology and 'trusted trader' schemes can largely do away with the need for physical infrastructure. 


The EU official suggested officials could inspect goods entering the UK via Ireland on ferries and in business premises away from the border.


He said: 'We are ready to improve this proposal. Work on the EU side is ongoing. We are clarifying which goods arriving in Northern Ireland from the rest of the UK would need to be checked and where, when and by whom these checks could be performed'.


Mr Barnier said talks were in the 'home straight', although two key issues remained unresolved ahead of October's deadlines - one being the problem surrounding the Irish border.


He insisted an Irish 'backstop' must be legally operationally and respect the UK's constitutional integrity.




Mrs May delivered a speech to the National Housing Federation today (pictured) before heading for the summit


Mrs May delivered a speech to the National Housing Federation today (pictured) before heading for the summit


Mrs May delivered a speech to the National Housing Federation today (pictured) before heading for the summit





Mr Barnier (right) and EU competition commissioner Margrethe Vestager (centre) greeted each other warmly in Brussels today


Mr Barnier (right) and EU competition commissioner Margrethe Vestager (centre) greeted each other warmly in Brussels today



Mr Barnier (right) and EU competition commissioner Margrethe Vestager (centre) greeted each other warmly in Brussels today


He said: 'We are ready to improve this proposal. Most checks can take place away from the border, at company premises, or the market,' Barnier said of customs and regulatory checks on goods that might move from British mainland to Northern Ireland. 


Speaking at a news conference in Brussels, Barnier said: 'It is then we shall see whether agreement we are hoping for is in our grasp.Mr 


'October is the key point in time - it is the moment of truth. We will see whether an agreement is in reach at that moment based on a subjective evaluation which I will be submitting in reporting to the European leaders on the state of negotiations.' 


Flatly rejecting Mr Barnier's latest overtures, DUP deputy leader Nigel Dodds said: 'So Michel Barnier says he can do different kinds of checks between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK as if that makes it more palatable. 



Brexiteers could spark second referendum by voting down Chequers, minister warns





Treasury minister Mel Stride today


Treasury minister Mel Stride today



Treasury minister Mel Stride today



Brexiteers could trigger a second referendum by voting down a Chequers-style deal with the EU, a minister warned today.


Treasury minister Mel Stride raised the prospect as he urged all MPs to get behind the PM's plan.


The comments are an indication of the brinkmanship likely to happen if a package comes before parliament.


Mr Stride said Eurosceptic Tories should 'be very concerned that if that deal does not prevail, they will end up in the situation where we could have a second referendum or we could end up not leaving the EU altogethe'.


He told Sky News: 'I think those on the other end of the spectrum will equally be very concerned that if Chequers does not prevail, we could end up in a no-deal situation.'




'The fundamental point is that internal UK checks are only needed if it is intended to separate Northern Ireland from Great Britain.


'Despite the talk of 'improvements' the backstop being insisted upon by the EU ... still means a border down the Irish Sea although with different kinds of checks. 


'The fact is that both Theresa May and the Labour Party have said no British prime minister could accept such a concept.'


Over dinner at the Felsenreitschule - the theatre where the Von Trapp family performed before fleeing the Nazis in The Sound Of Music movie - Mrs May will set out her plan and explain why Brussels should show more flexibility to give her the support she needs.


As part of the drive to set out the UK's position to the EU's leaders, she used an article in German newspaper Die Welt to explain her stance.


The Chequers blueprint - a 'common rulebook' for trade in goods and 'business-friendly facilitated customs arrangement' - is the only way to resolve the thorny issue of the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, she said.


'It is profoundly in both sides' economic interest, it respects the integrity of the single market and, crucially, no-one else has come up with a proposal that could command cross-community support in Northern Ireland that is the only true foundation for stability there.'


Mrs May said: 'To come to a successful conclusion, just as the UK has evolved its position, the EU will need to do the same.


'Neither side can demand the unacceptable of the other, such as an external customs border between different parts of the United Kingdom - which no other country would accept if they were in the same situation - or the UK seeking the rights of EU membership without the obligations.'


Mrs May is expected to use the Salzburg summit to hold formal face-to-face talks with Belgian premier Charles Michel later and Ireland's Leo Varadkar and Mr Tusk tomorrow.


She may talk to other leaders in the margins of the summit.


Attention had been increasingly focused on the prospect of a special summit in November to finalise an agreement, but Mr Barnier said it should be clear before then whether a deal was possible. 


Mrs May hailed the potential opportunities of Brexit and dismissed calls for a second referendum in her interview.


'As a nation, we're at a really important point in our history. Brexit is that important point because our future is in our own hands,' she said.


'We'll have the opportunity to take the freedoms that people voted for and use them to deliver that better future for everybody.' 


Brexit gives us the opportunity to build a better future and to help people to realise the British dream.


'We gave people the opportunity to make a choice. They made that choice.


'If we as politicians want people to trust us, then we have to deliver for them on that.


'I'm putting on the table what we think is the right plan for the UK and deliver a good deal for the EU. 


'When the referendum took place, we gave people the opportunity to make a choice. They made that choice. If we as politicians want people to trust us, then we have to deliver for them on that. If we were to go back on that vote, it would destroy trust in politicians.


'A lot of people out there, however they voted in the referendum, say a decision's been taken, let's get on with and do it.


'I'm confident we can get a good deal. We've put the Chequers plan on the table and that does deliver for people.


'I believe that what we're proposing is the Brexit that delivers the freedoms that people voted for – making our own laws, controlling our own borders, controlling our money.'    



What are the options for the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic after Brexit?





Theresa May and Jean-Claude Juncker agreed the outline of a divorce deal in December


Theresa May and Jean-Claude Juncker agreed the outline of a divorce deal in December



Theresa May and Jean-Claude Juncker agreed the outline of a divorce deal in December



Theresa May and the EU effectively fudged the Irish border issue in the Brexit divorce deal before Christmas.


But the commitments to leave the EU customs union, keep a soft border, and avoid divisions within the UK were always going to need reconciling at some stage. Currently 110million journeys take place across the border every year.


All sides in the negotiations insist they want to avoid a hard border between Northern Ireland and the Republic, but their ideas for how the issues should be solved are very different.


If they fail to strike a deal it could mean a hard border on the island - which could potentially put the Good Friday Agreement at risk. 


The UK blueprint:


The PM has made clear her favoured outcome for Brexit is a deep free trade deal with the EU.


The UK side initially set out two options for how the border could look.


A 'Maximum Facilitation' scheme would have seen a highly streamlined customs arrangement, using a combination of technology and goodwill to minimise the checks on trade.


There would be no entry or exit declarations for goods at the border, while 'advanced' IT and trusted trader schemes would remove the need for vehicles to be stopped. 


The second option was described as a customs partnership, which would see the UK collect tariffs on behalf of the EU - along with its own tariffs for goods heading into the wider British market.


At the Chequers Cabinet summit earlier this month, Mrs May pushed through a compromise plan with elements of both.


It would see the UK follow a 'common rule book' with the EU on goods and collect some tariffs on behalf of Brussels to avoid border friction.


UK courts would also take account of decisions by EU judges.


Brexiteers have been incensed by the proposal, which they say makes too many concessions and will prevent Britain doing trade deals elsewhere. Boris Johnson and David Davis quit in protest, threatening to send Mrs May tumbling out of Downing Street.


It was also initially dismissed as 'cherry picking' by Eurocrats.


The EU blueprint:


The divorce deal set out a 'fallback' option under which the UK would maintain 'full alignment' with enough rules of the customs union and single market to prevent a hard border and protect the Good Friday Agreement.


The inclusion of this clause, at the demand of Ireland, almost wrecked the deal until Mrs May added a commitment that there would also be full alignment between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK. 


But when the EU translated this option into a legal text they hardened it further to make clear Northern Ireland would be fully within the EU customs union and most single market rules.


Mrs May says no Prime Minister could ever agree to such terms, as they would undermine the constitutional integrity of the UK.


Under the new plan from Brussels, goods could be tracked using barcodes on shipping containers under 'trusted-trader' schemes - effectively removing the need for new border infrastructure.


The new EU draft could unlock the negotiations as it accepts a key element of the UK's about the use of technology, and makes clear that most checks would not take place at any particular border.  


Brussels is drafting the plan to prevent Scottish nationalists from demanding the same arrangements - a major concern of the UK.


However, the solution is still specific to Northern Ireland, rather than covering the whole UK as the government wants.


A hard border:


Neither side wants a hard border between Northern Ireland and the Republic. 


But they appear to be locked in a cyclical dispute, with each adamant the other's solutions are impossible to accept.


If there is no deal and the UK and EU reverts to basic World Trade Organisation (WTO) relationship, theoretically there would need to be physical border posts with customs checks on vehicles and goods.


That could prove catastrophic for the Good Friday Agreement, with fears terrorists would resurface and the cycle of violence escalate.


Many Brexiteers have suggested Britain could simply refuse to erect a hard border - and dare the EU to put up their own fences. 





Countdown to Brexit: The key milestones on the road to exit day





Theresa May (pictured in Downing Street) meets EU leaders in Salzburg tomorrow in the first of a series of choreographed moments on the final road to Brexit


Theresa May (pictured in Downing Street) meets EU leaders in Salzburg tomorrow in the first of a series of choreographed moments on the final road to Brexit



Theresa May (pictured in Downing Street) meets EU leaders in Salzburg tomorrow in the first of a series of choreographed moments on the final road to Brexit



 Salzburg Summit, September 19-20 


In a crucial moment tomorrow, the Prime Minister will address EU leaders on her Chequers proposals for the first time.


She will set out why the proposals are the only 'credible and negotiable' plan that both honours the referendum vote and - in her view - works for the EU.


The response of EU leaders will be crucial. Most have been cool on the ideas so far but expectation is rising they could give EU Negotiator Michel Barnier new guidelines within which to strike a deal. 


EU Council President Donald Tusk has said the meeting must reach a 'common view' on the shape of the future UK-EU relationship and agree the final phase of talks.


Failure would dramatically raise the chance of no deal. 


Next round of negotiations, September 21 to mid-October


The following month of detailed talks will be among the most crucial so far.


If the Salzburg summit sees EU leaders agree a broad framework as planned, the UK and EU negotiators will have just weeks to frame a 'political declaration' on the future relationship and finalise the withdrawal treaty. 


How far they get in drafting the documents - and how much is left to EU leaders themselves - will determine when, if at all, an agreement can be struck.  


The political declaration will explain in non-legal language what the two sides plans to agree in the final treaty.  


A political declaration was used in December 2017 to outline the proposed transition deal and the £39billion divorce bill agreed by the UK. This is what is currently being turned into legal language for the withdrawal treaty. 




EU Negotiator Michel Barnier (right in Brussels last week) maybe given new guidelines this week within which to strike a deal. EU Council President Donald Tusk (left) has said the meeting must reach a 'common view' on the shape of the future UK-EU relationship


EU Negotiator Michel Barnier (right in Brussels last week) maybe given new guidelines this week within which to strike a deal. EU Council President Donald Tusk (left) has said the meeting must reach a 'common view' on the shape of the future UK-EU relationship


EU Negotiator Michel Barnier (right in Brussels last week) maybe given new guidelines this week within which to strike a deal. EU Council President Donald Tusk (left) has said the meeting must reach a 'common view' on the shape of the future UK-EU relationship



EU Summit, Brussels, October 18-19


October's EU summit has long been pencilled in as the opportunity for EU leaders to agree the withdrawal treaty on the terms of exit and a political declaration on the future relationship between the UK and EU.


If a deal can be struck in October, it leaves plenty of time for it to be agreed in the UK and ratified in the EU, paving the way for an orderly Brexit in March.


A deal is not expected to be finalised at this summit but both sides will hope for significant progress - even if the summit is used to set out the dividing lines one last time.  


Emergency EU Summit, Brussels, November 13 


A one-day emergency summit in November is now widely expected. If it happens, there will be acute political pressure to finalise both the withdrawal treaty and political declaration - if nothing else to allow the EU to return to other business.


Expect a high stakes meeting and a late night finish. Failure will see both sides walking up to the brink of a chaotic exit and peering over the edge. 




The response of the European Council (including German Chancellor Angela Merkel) will be crucial in the next stages of the EU talks 


The response of the European Council (including German Chancellor Angela Merkel) will be crucial in the next stages of the EU talks 


The response of the European Council (including German Chancellor Angela Merkel) will be crucial in the next stages of the EU talks 



EU Summit, Brussels, December  13-14


Given the need to ratify the deal, the December summit is the last chance to strike a deal. Brexit is not supposed to be on the agenda: if the talks reach this summit there has been a major breakdown.


The EU does infamously find a way to agreement at the 11th hour and if Brexit talks are still live in December, many will hope for a fudge that can get both sides over the line.


Last year, talks on the outline divorce deal were pushed to December and a deal was  - just - reached. 


The so-called 'meaningful vote' in the UK Parliament, January 2019 


Assuming there is a withdrawal treaty and political declaration, the next stage is for the action is in the UK Parliament.


Mrs May promised Tory Remain rebels a 'meaningful' vote on the final deal in both the Commons and Lords.


This is expected to be a simple yes or no vote on what she has negotiated - so in theory a detailed withdrawal treaty, spelling out the divorce bill and other issues such as citizens' rights, and the political declaration on the future relationship.


Linking the two will be a high stakes moment. Brexiteers do not want to sign off the divorce bill without a trade deal and Remainers are reluctant to vote for a blind Brexit.


But the Prime Minister has made clear it is deal or no deal: accept what she has negotiated or leave Britain crashing out on March 29, 2019 with no agreement in place. 


If the meaningful vote is passed, there will be a series of further votes as the withdrawal treaty is written into British law.




The Prime Minister (pictured at the EU Council in June) has made clear it is deal or no deal: accept what she has negotiated or leave Britain crashing out on March 29, 2019 with no agreement in place


The Prime Minister (pictured at the EU Council in June) has made clear it is deal or no deal: accept what she has negotiated or leave Britain crashing out on March 29, 2019 with no agreement in place


The Prime Minister (pictured at the EU Council in June) has made clear it is deal or no deal: accept what she has negotiated or leave Britain crashing out on March 29, 2019 with no agreement in place



Ratification in the EU, February 2019 


After the meaningful vote in the UK, the EU will have to ratify the agreement. This is a two stage process.


National parliaments in all 27 countries have to vote on the deal. It does not need to pass everywhere but must be carried in at least 20 of the 27 countries, with Yes votes covering at least 65 per cent of the EU population.


The European Parliament must also vote in favour of the deal. It has a representative in the talks, Guy Verhofstadt, who has repeatedly warned the deal must serve the EU's interests.


In practice, once the leaders of the 27 member states have agreed a deal, ratification on the EU side should be assured.


Exit day, March 29, 2019 


At 11pm on March 29, 2019, Britain will cease to be a member of the European Union, two years after triggering Article 50 and almost three years after the referendum. 


Exit happens at 11pm because it must happen on EU time.


If the transition deal is in place, little will change immediately - people will travel in the same way as today and goods will cross the border normally. 


But Britain's MEPs will no longer sit in the European Parliament and British ministers will no longer take part in EU meetings.


Negotiations will continue to turn the political agreement on the future partnership into legal text that will eventually become a second treaty. Both sides will build new customs and immigration controls in line with what this says.


If there is no deal, there is little clarity on what will happen. Britain has outlined contingencies for a catastrophic breakdown in transport and goods networks; in practice short term, small side deals will be likely be rapidly negotiated to avert the worst consequences.


 




Linkhienalouca.com

https://hienalouca.com/2018/09/19/theresa-may-to-get-10-minutes-to-deliver-brexit-pitch-to-eu-leaders/
Main photo article Donald Tusk warned that Theresa May must ‘re-work’ her Chequers plan today – hours before she is due to plead with EU leaders to break the deadlock in negotiations.
Speaking as a crucial summit kicked off in Salzburg, the EU council president said there was ‘more hope but ...


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