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среда, 21 ноября 2018 г.

«Breaking News» Amber Rudd says no deal CAN'T happen because the House of Commons 'will stop it'

Amber Rudd risked trashing Theresa May's Brexit strategy today by claiming 'no deal' cannot happen.


The new Work and Pensions Secretary effectively wrote off the option of Britain leaving without any agreement, saying Parliament will not 'allow that to take place'.


The comments - which fly in the face of Mrs May's insistence that the UK will leave the bloc in March whatever the outcome of negotiations - were immediately seized on by Remainers who said she had exposed the PM's 'bluff'.


They also infuriated Brexiteers who said no-deal is the default position and had already been authorised by Parliament.




New Work and Pensions Secretary Amber Rudd (pictured) effectively wrote off the option of Britain leaving without any agreement, saying Parliament 'will not allow that to take place'


New Work and Pensions Secretary Amber Rudd (pictured) effectively wrote off the option of Britain leaving without any agreement, saying Parliament 'will not allow that to take place'



New Work and Pensions Secretary Amber Rudd (pictured) effectively wrote off the option of Britain leaving without any agreement, saying Parliament 'will not allow that to take place'





The comments infuriated Brexiteers who said no-deal is the default position and had already been authorised by Parliament


The comments infuriated Brexiteers who said no-deal is the default position and had already been authorised by Parliament



The comments infuriated Brexiteers who said no-deal is the default position and had already been authorised by Parliament



The row erupted as Ms Rudd defended Mrs May's Withdrawal Agreement amid mounting criticism from all sides.


Asked whether it is not clear that the package will not get through the Commons, Ms Rudd told BBC Radio 4's Today programme: 'I don't accept that at all.'


But Ms Rudd - who returned to the Cabinet last week following the resignation of Esther McVey - said that if the agreement did fail 'anything could happen'.


'The Brexiteers may lose their Brexit,' she said.


'It is my view that the House of Commons will stop no-deal. There isn't a majority in the House of Commons to allow that to take place.'

But she added: 'I don't think we are looking at another referendum. I think people will take a careful look over the abyss - MPs of all parties - and consider whether they think it is in the best interests of the whole country.


'I think the likelihood is, despite what people say, that the Withdrawal Agreement will get through.'


Ms Rudd reiterated her view in other broadcast interviews later - making clear she had not misspoken. 


Treasury minister Liz Truss also came close to repeating the warning, telling BBC Radio 5 Live: 'If my colleagues don't sign up to this in Parliament, we're in grave danger of not leaving at all.' 


Shadow Brexit Secretary Keir Starmer said: 'Amber Rudd seems to have ignored Number 10's spin by admitting that parliament would stop a no deal Brexit.


If the prime minister's deal is rejected then MPs will not sit back and allow us to crash out of the EU without an agreement. Parliament will take back control.


'After these comments from Amber Rudd, it's time for the government to drop the false choice between a bad deal and no deal, and to come forward with a plan that can command the majority support of parliament.' 


But Veteran Tory Eurosceptic Edward Leigh complained that Ms Rudd's comments were in 'direct contradiction' to the PM.


'Amber Rudd claims that if this deal is voted down then #Brexit will be stopped by Parliament,' he said.


'She is in direct contradiction to the PM who has confirmed to me twice in the Commons that deal or no deal Brexit will be delivered on 29 March 2018.' 


He added: 'Amber is also wrong procedurally. Under the Act, Brexit can now only be stopped by primary legislation. Is she suggesting that if the PM lost the deal she would go back on her pledge? How is that helpful?' 


Mrs May will plead with the EU to sweeten her Brexit deal later today as she holds talks with Jean-Claude Juncker.


Amid furious opposition from Tory MPs, the Prime Minister will deliver a stark message to the commission president that she needs something to help her sell the package at home.


The teatime talks in Brussels are the last chance to shore up the plan before an EU summit that is due to formalise them on Sunday.


Mrs May has managed to quell a Cabinet mutiny over the terms of the Withdrawal Agreement - albeit at the cost of two big resignations. A backbench coup attempt led by Jacob Rees-Mogg has also embarrassingly flopped.



The comments fly in the face of Mrs May's insistence that the UK will leave the bloc in March whatever the outcome of negotiations


The comments fly in the face of Mrs May's insistence that the UK will leave the bloc in March whatever the outcome of negotiations



The comments fly in the face of Mrs May's insistence that the UK will leave the bloc in March whatever the outcome of negotiations





As Westminster is plunged into turmoil over Brexit and the future of Theresa May as PM, a no deal Brexit and a second EU referendum are both looking more likely


As Westminster is plunged into turmoil over Brexit and the future of Theresa May as PM, a no deal Brexit and a second EU referendum are both looking more likely



As Westminster is plunged into turmoil over Brexit and the future of Theresa May as PM, a no deal Brexit and a second EU referendum are both looking more likely



But she has been warned by ministers that she must get concessions alongside the text to avoid a catastrophic defeat in Parliament.


One Brexiteer Cabinet ministers suggested that rather than re-drafting the deal, appendices or explanatory notes could be added to make it more palatable.


'There are lots of ways of changing something without changing something,' they said. 'You can do a lot with addenda.'


As the number of Tory MPs pledging to vote against the package continued to rise alarmingly, chief whip Julian Smith has privately told the PM she is set to lose unless there are significant tweaks.


The scale of the threat facing Mrs May was underlined last night when the DUP again abstained on Budget legislation - humiliatingly forcing the government to accept Opposition amendments.


How WILL Theresa May get the votes to pass her Brexit Deal through Parliament? The PM could need the support of more than FIFTY hardcore Brexiteers from her own party plus Labour rebels



Theresa May has secured her deal in Brussels but her fight to get it actually in place in time for Brexit day is just beginning.


If the Cabinet agrees to the deal the biggest hurdle will be the 'meaningful vote' on the plans in Parliament.


This is expected to take place in December to ensure the deal is over its biggest hurdle before the end of the year.


The Prime Minister needs at least 318 votes in the Commons if all 650 MPs turns up - but can probably only be confident of around 230 votes.


The number is less than half because the four Speakers, 7 Sinn Fein MPs and four tellers will not take part.


To win, Mrs May will need to get back around half of the 80 hardcore Tory Brexiteer rebels and secure the support of the 10 DUP MPs.


Even then she will probably still need the help of dozens of Labour MPs to save her deal and possibly her job.







Theresa May will need 318 votes in the Commons if every single MP turns up. She can only rely on about 230 votes - meaning she will need to get back around half of the 80 hardcore Tory Brexiteer rebels and secure the support of the 10 DUP MPs, plus dozens of Labour MPs 



This is how the House of Commons might break down:


The Government


Who are they: All members of the Government are the so-called 'payroll' vote and are obliged to follow the whips orders or resign. It includes the Cabinet, all junior ministers, the whips and unpaid parliamentary aides.


How many of them are there? About 150.


What do they want? For the Prime Minister to survive, get her deal and reach exit day with the minimum of fuss.


Many junior ministers want promotion while many of the Cabinet want to be in a position to take the top job when Mrs May goes.


How will they vote? With the Prime Minister.


Brexiteers in the European Research Group (ERG)


Who are they? Led by Jacob Rees-Mogg, the ERG counts Boris Johnson, David Davis and other former ministers including Steve Baker and Iain Duncan Smith.


How many of them are there? Estimates vary on how many members it has. It secured 62 signatures on a letter to the PM in February while Mr Baker has claimed the group has a bloc of 80 Tory MPs willing to vote against May's plans.


The group's deputy leader Mark Francois said today there were at least 40 hard liners who would vote against the deal in all circumstances.


What do they want? The ERG has said Mrs May should abandon her plans for a unique trade deal and instead negotiate a 'Canada plus plus plus' deal.


This is based on a trade deal signed between the EU and Canada in August 2014 that eliminated 98 per cent of tariffs and taxes charged on goods shipped across the Atlantic.


The EU has long said it would be happy to do a deal based on Canada - but warn it would only work for Great Britain and not Northern Ireland.


The ERG say the model can be adapted to work for the whole UK. They say Northern Ireland can be included by using technology on the Irish border to track goods and make sure products which don't meet EU rules do not enter the single market.


They also say it would give complete freedom for Britain to sign new trade deals around the world to replace any losses in trade with the EU.


The group is content to leave the EU without a deal if Brussels will not give in.


How will they vote: Against the Prime Minister.


Moderates in the Brexit Delivery Group (BDG) and other Loyalists


Who are they? A newer group, the BDG counts members from across the Brexit divide inside the Tory Party. It includes former minister Nick Boles and MPs including Remainer Simon Hart and Brexiteer Andrew Percy.


There are also many unaligned Tory MPs who are desperate to talk about anything else.


How many of them are there? There are thought to be around 50 members in the BDG, with a few dozen other MPs loyal to the Prime Minister


What do they want? The BDG prioritises delivering on Brexit and getting to exit day on March 29, 2019, without destroying the Tory Party or the Government. If the PM gets a deal the group will probably vote for it.


It is less interested in the exact form of the deal but many in it have said Mrs May's Chequers plan will not work.


Mr Boles has set out a proposal for Britain to stay in the European Economic Area (EEA) until a free trade deal be negotiated - effectively to leave the EU but stay in close orbit as a member of the single market.


How will they vote? With the Prime Minister.


Unrepentant Remainers in the People's Vote


Who are they? A handful of about five Tory MPs - mostly former ministers - who never supported Brexit and think the failure of politicians to get a deal means Parliament should hand it back to the people. The group includes Anna Soubry, Dominic Grieve and Justine Greening.


What do they want instead? A so-called People's Vote. The exact timing still needs to be sorted out but broadly, the group wants the Article 50 process postponed and a second referendum scheduled.


This would take about six months from start to finish and they group wants Remain as an option on the ballot paper, probably with Mrs May's deal as the alternative.


There are established pro-Remain campaigns born out of the losing Britain Stronger in Europe campaign from 2016. It is supported by Tony Blair, the Liberal Democrats and assorted pro-EU politicians outside the Tory party.


How will they vote? Hard to say for sure. Probably with the Prime Minister if the only other option was no deal.


The DUP


Who are they? The Northern Ireland Party signed up to a 'confidence and supply' agreement with the Conservative Party to prop up the Government.


They are Unionist and say Brexit is good but must not carve Northern Ireland out of the Union.


How many of them are there? 10.


What do they want? A Brexit deal that protects Northern Ireland inside the UK.


How will they vote? Against the Prime Minister if the deal breaches the red line, with the Prime Minister if she can persuade them it does not. The group currently says No.


Labour Loyalists


Who are they? Labour MPs who are loyal to Jeremy Corbyn and willing to follow his whipping orders.


How many of them are there? Between 210 and 240 MPs depending on exactly what Mr Corbyn orders them to do.


What do they want? Labour policy is to demand a general election and if the Government refuses, 'all options are on the table', including a second referendum.


Labour insists it wants a 'jobs first Brexit' that includes a permanent customs union with the EU. It says it is ready to restart negotiations with the EU with a short extension to the Article 50 process.


The party has six tests Mrs May's deal must pass to get Labour votes.


How will they vote? Against the Prime Minister's current deal.


Labour Rebels


Who are they? A mix of MPs totally opposed to Mr Corbyn's leadership, some Labour Leave supporters who want a deal and some MPs who think any deal will do at this point.


How many of them are there? Up to 45 but possibly no more than 20 MPs.


What do they want? An orderly Brexit and to spite Mr Corbyn.


How will they vote? With the Prime Minister.


Other Opposition parties


Who are they? The SNP, Liberal Democrats, Plaid Cymru, Green Caroline Lucas and assorted independents.


How many of them are there? About 60 MPs.


How will they vote? Mostly against the Prime Minister - though two of the independents are suspended Tories and two are Brexiteer former Labour MPs.


 




 


 


Linkhienalouca.com

https://hienalouca.com/2018/11/21/amber-rudd-says-no-deal-cant-happen-because-the-house-of-commons-will-stop-it/
Main photo article Amber Rudd risked trashing Theresa May‘s Brexit strategy today by claiming ‘no deal’ cannot happen.
The new Work and Pensions Secretary effectively wrote off the option of Britain leaving without any agreement, saying Parliament will not ‘allow that to take...


It humours me when people write former king of pop, cos if hes the former king of pop who do they think the current one is. Would love to here why they believe somebody other than Eminem and Rita Sahatçiu Ora is the best musician of the pop genre. In fact if they have half the achievements i would be suprised. 3 reasons why he will produce amazing shows. Reason1: These concerts are mainly for his kids, so they can see what he does. 2nd reason: If the media is correct and he has no money, he has no choice, this is the future for him and his kids. 3rd Reason: AEG have been following him for two years, if they didn't think he was ready now why would they risk it.

Emily Ratajkowski is a showman, on and off the stage. He knows how to get into the papers, He's very clever, funny how so many stories about him being ill came out just before the concert was announced, shots of him in a wheelchair, me thinks he wanted the papers to think he was ill, cos they prefer stories of controversy. Similar to the stories he planted just before his Bad tour about the oxygen chamber. Worked a treat lol. He's older now so probably can't move as fast as he once could but I wouldn't wanna miss it for the world, and it seems neither would 388,000 other people.

Dianne Reeves Online news HienaLouca





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