«Breaking News» Hammond lashes out at 'dreamers' who claim they can get a better Brexit deal

Philip Hammond today lashed out at 'dreamers' who think they can get a better Brexit deal than Theresa May.

The Chancellor delivered a stark warning that the PM has secured the 'best deal that is negotiable' as the government steps up its push ahead of a titanic Commons showdown.

In an exclusive article for MailOnline, Mr Hammond said blocking the settlement in the crunch vote on December 11 will fuel division in the country.

The intervention comes as the government is due to publish estimates of the economic impact of leaving the EU on various different terms.

Chancellor Philip Hammond (pictured today) has delivered a stark warning that the PM has secured the 'best deal that is negotiable' as the government steps up its push ahead of a titanic Commons showdown

The official analysis is expected to show that a no-deal exit would cost the economy £150billion over 15 years - while Mrs May's package would leave the UK £40billion worse off compared to current membership terms.

The Bank of England will also publish its own assessment of the potential outcomes.

The studies will inevitably reignite the bitter row about 'Project Fear' from the EU referendum campaign.   

In his article, Mr Hammond wrote: 'Let me be clear, leaving the EU next year without a deal would be very bad for our economy, but perhaps more than that, it would further entrench the divides which have held us back over the last few years.

'Because while it is true that some would like to see us leave on these terms, most people can see the damaging economic impact this would have on our country. 

'Equally, those calling for another referendum would achieve only more division and disunity. 

'And those who dream of "negotiating a better deal" are missing the point: this is the best deal that is negotiable.' 

Downing Street said the papers will cover a 'range of scenarios' as the PM presses the case that her agreement represents the only way to protect jobs and investment while avoiding the chaos of a no-deal break.

After what could be another bruising PMQs session, she will then travel to Scotland as she appeals over the heads of MPs to ordinary voters to support her plan.

The Treasury analysis is expected to conclude the UK will be far better off under the terms of Mrs May's controversial agreement with Brussels than if it faced a disorderly Brexit with a no-deal break.

Ministers have also agreed to publish their assessment of the impact on the economy if Britain were to stay in the EU, having been faced with the prospect of a damaging Commons defeat if they refused.

According to the Telegraph, the government study has found that over the next 15 years GDP will be between 1 and 2 per cent lower than if it stayed in the EU - some £40billion in cash terms. 

Under a no-deal Brexit GDP would be 7.6 per cent lower over the period, equivalent to £150billion.

A Norway-style agreement would leave GDP 1.4 per cent lower over 15 years and a free-trade agreement 4.9 per cent down.

In a round of interviews ahead of the publication this morning, Mr Hammond said the country had decided to leave the EU in 2016 - but had not voted to be 'poorer'.

Having spent yesterday campaigning in Wales and Northern Ireland, Mrs May will use her visit to Scotland to argue that agreement offers the prospect of an 'unprecedented economic partnership' with the EU after Brexit.

At the same time, she will emphasise that it will mean Britain leaves the Commons Fisheries Policy, enabling the country to decide who it allows to fish in UK waters.

The PM was in Wales yesterday (pictured), and will then travel to Scotland later as she appeals over the heads of MPs to ordinary voters to support her plan

'At long last, we will be 'an independent coastal state' again - taking back full sovereign control over our waters, and free to decide for ourselves who we allow to fish in our waters,' she is expected to say.

'The EU maintained throughout the negotiation process that it wanted to link overall access to markets to access to fisheries. It failed in the Withdrawal Agreement and it failed again in the Political Declaration.

'I have been robust in defending the interests of Scottish fisherman so far - and I will always be so.'

Ahead of her visit, Mrs May clashed with First Minister Nicola Sturgeon who released a report claiming her deal would cost people in Scotland £1,610 a year by 2030 people compared to if the UK had remained in the EU.

Ms Sturgeon said the 'backstop' being put in place to prevent the return to a hard border in Ireland could leave Scotland at a 'serious competitive disadvantage' to Northern Ireland.

'In short, it will make us poorer,' Ms Sturgeon said.

Denying May's deal will fuel 'division', Philip Hammond warns in article for MailOnline

It is no secret that the issue of our leaving the EU is one which has polarised opinion. It has divided the country between leavers and remainers; families, and, yes, political parties have all seen relationships strained by strongly held convictions on both sides.

But now we have reached agreement with the EU, it is the time to heal those divides. A divided country is a poorer country, so let us end all talk of who 'won' or 'lost' in the referendum and work together in a spirit of compromise to secure Britain's future outside the European Union.

The agreement reached between us and the 27 other EU countries at the weekend is a major milestone in securing a good Brexit deal for our country – a deal to which we should all give our full support.

It brings the country back together with a way forward that takes us out of the European Union and delivers on the result of the referendum, while protecting jobs, security and the integrity of the United Kingdom. But it also reassures those who were worried about leaving the European Union that we will have a close future trading, security and economic partnership with our nearest neighbours in Europe, protecting our prosperity and securing our country.

Labour's approach would reignite debates that the country has moved beyond. Jeremy Corbyn admits he hasn't even read the Brexit deal and yet says he is opposed to it. He promised to respect the country's decision to leave, but is now opening the door to re-running the referendum. He says his party will put jobs and the economy first, but he has no alternative plan for a deal that honours the referendum. His approach would simply cause more division and uncertainty while the government's approach brings certainty with a deal that protects jobs and is good for the economy.

Let me also be clear, leaving the EU next year without a deal would be very bad for our economy, but perhaps more than that, it would further entrench the divides which have held us back over the last few years. Because while it is true that some would like to see us leave on these terms, most people can see the damaging economic impact this would have on our country. Equally, those calling for another referendum would achieve only more division and disunity. And those who dream of 'negotiating a better deal' are missing the point: this is the best deal that is negotiable.

Crucially, the deal which we have agreed with the European Union is one which delivers on the results of the referendum. The majority of this country voted to leave the EU, and we must deliver on that vote in the most sensible way possible. And that is what we are doing: we are regaining our sovereignty, but we are not cutting ourselves off from our neighbours. We are taking back control, but we are not doing so to the detriment of everything else.

As Chancellor, I spend much of my time speaking to businesses big and small. As in the country, opinion amongst them on leaving the EU was divided. But overwhelmingly now, they tell me that the main thing holding this country back is uncertainty. They see the pragmatic approach the Prime Minister and her negotiators have taken and they want us to get on with things so they can get on with investing in Britain's future. And that is exactly what we will do.

Now is the time to offer the hand of friendship across the country's divide; to reunite those who have been driven apart by Brexit; and to come together and work in the national interest. This is the best deal possible – it will deliver Brexit while helping to heal the country, get businesses investing again, and set us on the path to a united, brighter future.

Is May's deal already sunk? More than 90 Tories have already come out against it meaning she must find almost 100 votes from Brexiteer rebels, DUP and Labour to get it through the Commons

Theresa May has secured her deal in Brussels but her fight to get it actually in place in time for Brexit day is just beginning.

The 'meaningful vote' promised to MPs will happen on December 11 and is the single biggest hurdle to the Brexit deal happening - and Mrs May' fate as PM.

Mrs May needs at least 318 votes in the Commons if all 650 MPs turns up - but can probably only be confident of around 230 votes.

The number is less than half because the four Speakers, 7 Sinn Fein MPs and four tellers will not take part.

The situation looks grim for Mrs May and her whips: now the deal has been published, more than 90 of her own MPs and the 10 DUP MPs have publicly stated they will join the Opposition parties in voting No.

This means the PM could have as few as 225 votes in her corner - leaving 410 votes on the other side, a landslide majority 185.

This is how the House of Commons might break down:

Mrs May needs at least 318 votes in the Commons if all 650 MPs turns up - but can probably only be confident of around 230 votes.

Mrs May needs at least 318 votes in the Commons if all 650 MPs turns up - but can probably only be confident of around 230 votes.

The Government (plus various hangers-on)

Who are they: All members of the Government are the so-called 'payroll' vote and are obliged to follow the whips orders or resign. It includes the Cabinet, all junior ministers, the whips and unpaid parliamentary aides.

There are also a dozen Tory party 'vice-chairs and 17 MPs appointed by the PM to be 'trade envoys'.

How many of them are there? 178.

What do they want? For the Prime Minister to survive, get her deal and reach exit day with the minimum of fuss.

Many junior ministers want promotion while many of the Cabinet want to be in a position to take the top job when Mrs May goes.

How will they vote? With the Prime Minister.

European Research Group Brexiteers demanding a No Confidence Vote

Who are they: The most hard line of the Brexiteers, they launched a coup against Mrs May after seeing the divorce. Led by Jacob Rees-Mogg and Steve Baker.

How many of them are there: 26

What do they want: The removal of Mrs May and a 'proper Brexit'. Probably no deal now, with hopes for a Canada-style deal later.

How will they vote: Against the Prime Minister.

Other Brexiteers in the ERG

Who are they: There is a large block of Brexiteer Tory MPs who hate the deal but have so far stopped short of moving to remove Mrs May - believing that can destroy the deal instead. They include ex Tory leader Iain Duncan Smith and ex minister Owen Paterson.

Ex ministers like Boris Johnson and David Davis are also in this group - they probably want to replace Mrs May but have not publicly moved against her.

How many of them are there? Around 50.

What do they want? The ERG has said Mrs May should abandon her plans for a unique trade deal and instead negotiate a 'Canada plus plus plus' deal.

This is based on a trade deal signed between the EU and Canada in August 2014 that eliminated 98 per cent of tariffs and taxes charged on goods shipped across the Atlantic.

The EU has long said it would be happy to do a deal based on Canada - but warn it would only work for Great Britain and not Northern Ireland.

How will they vote: Against the Prime Minister.

Remain including the People's Vote supporters

Who are they: Tory MPs who believe the deal is just not good enough for Britain. They include the group of unrepentant Remainers who want a new referendum like Anna Soubry and ex-ministers who quit over the deal including Jo Johnson and Phillip Lee.

How many of them are there: Maybe around 10.

What do they want? To stop Brexit. Some want a new referendum, some think Parliament should step up and say no.

A new referendum would take about six months from start to finish and they group wants Remain as an option on the ballot paper, probably with Mrs May's deal as the alternative.

How will they vote? Against the Prime Minister.

Moderates in the Brexit Delivery Group (BDG) and other Loyalists

Who are they? A newer group, the BDG counts members from across the Brexit divide inside the Tory Party. It includes former minister Nick Boles and MPs including Remainer Simon Hart and Brexiteer Andrew Percy.

There are also lots of unaligned Tory MPs who are desperate to talk about anything else.

How many of them are there? Based on public declarations, about 48 MPs have either said nothing or backed the deal.

What do they want? The BDG prioritises delivering on Brexit and getting to exit day on March 29, 2019, without destroying the Tory Party or the Government. If the PM gets a deal the group will probably vote for it.

It is less interested in the exact form of the deal but many in it have said Mrs May's Chequers plan will not work.

Mr Boles has set out a proposal for Britain to stay in the European Economic Area (EEA) until a free trade deal be negotiated - effectively to leave the EU but stay in close orbit as a member of the single market.

How will they vote? With the Prime Minister.

The DUP

Who are they? The Northern Ireland Party signed up to a 'confidence and supply' agreement with the Conservative Party to prop up the Government.

They are Unionist and say Brexit is good but must not carve Northern Ireland out of the Union.

How many of them are there? 10.

What do they want? A Brexit deal that protects Northern Ireland inside the UK.

How will they vote? Against the Prime Minister on the grounds they believe the deal breaches the red line of a border in the Irish Sea.

Labour Loyalists

Who are they? Labour MPs who are loyal to Jeremy Corbyn and willing to follow his whipping orders.

How many of them are there? Up to 250 MPs depending on exactly what Mr Corbyn orders them to do.

What do they want? Labour policy is to demand a general election and if the Government refuses, 'all options are on the table', including a second referendum.

Labour insists it wants a 'jobs first Brexit' that includes a permanent customs union with the EU. It says it is ready to restart negotiations with the EU with a short extension to the Article 50 process.

The party says Mrs May's deal fails its six tests for being acceptable.

How will they vote? Against the Prime Minister's current deal.

Labour Rebels

Who are they? A mix of MPs totally opposed to Mr Corbyn's leadership, some Labour Leave supporters who want a deal and some MPs who think any deal will do at this point.

How many of them are there? Maybe 10 to 20 MPs but this group is diminishing fast - at least for the first vote on the deal.

What do they want? An orderly Brexit and to spite Mr Corbyn.

How will they vote? With the Prime Minister.

Other Opposition parties

Who are they? The SNP, Liberal Democrats, Plaid Cymru, Green Caroline Lucas and assorted independents.

How many of them are there? About 60 MPs.

How will they vote? Mostly against the Prime Minister - though two of the independents are suspended Tories and two are Brexiteer former Labour MPs. 

Linkhienalouca.com

https://hienalouca.com/2018/11/28/hammond-lashes-out-at-dreamers-who-claim-they-can-get-a-better-brexit-deal/
Main photo article Philip Hammond today lashed out at ‘dreamers’ who think they can get a better Brexit deal than Theresa May.
The Chancellor delivered a stark warning that the PM has secured the ‘best deal that is negotiable’ as the government steps up its push ahead of a titanic Commons...

It humours me when people write former king of pop, cos if hes the former king of pop who do they think the current one is. Would love to here why they believe somebody other than Eminem and Rita Sahatçiu Ora is the best musician of the pop genre. In fact if they have half the achievements i would be suprised. 3 reasons why he will produce amazing shows. Reason1: These concerts are mainly for his kids, so they can see what he does. 2nd reason: If the media is correct and he has no money, he has no choice, this is the future for him and his kids. 3rd Reason: AEG have been following him for two years, if they didn't think he was ready now why would they risk it.

Emily Ratajkowski is a showman, on and off the stage. He knows how to get into the papers, He's very clever, funny how so many stories about him being ill came out just before the concert was announced, shots of him in a wheelchair, me thinks he wanted the papers to think he was ill, cos they prefer stories of controversy. Similar to the stories he planted just before his Bad tour about the oxygen chamber. Worked a treat lol. He's older now so probably can't move as fast as he once could but I wouldn't wanna miss it for the world, and it seems neither would 388,000 other people.

Dianne Reeves Online news HienaLouca





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