How long will Brexit be delayed, can it be cancelled and will there be a second referendum? MailOnline's guide reveals what happens next as May faces a THIRD night of votes
- MPs can decide whether a delay should last for months or even years
- Mrs May would then have to ask for an extension to Article 50 from the EU
- Even a short extension could end up costing the UK billions of pounds
- But MPs could keep it short by approving a Brexit deal next week
A beleaguered Theresa May will attempt to force Brexiteers into backing a Brexit deal tomorrow by threatening to postpone the UK's departure for years.
The Government's defeat tonight and apparent lack of control over events paves the way for a dramatic series of votes tomorrow that could play a pivotal role in determining when the UK leaves the European Union.
How it unfolds will greatly affect what, if any, bargaining power the Prime Minister has when she goes to the European Council in Brussels to ask for a delay to Brexit on March 21.
Mrs May will sets out two scenarios.
Firstly, if they pass a Brexit deal before the meeting of EU leaders in the Belgian capital, she will ask for a three-month extension to June 30 to allow it to be ratified by member states and pass into law.
But if they do not manage to pass a deal before March 21 it sets out clearly that she will be forced to ask for a longer extension to look at alternatives, potentially for years.
Implicit in this is a threat to Brexiteers to get behind her deal in a third meaningful vote or deal with the alternative.
Could Brexit be stopped?
May has warned this is a possibility. While she will not revoke Article 50 herself, she has warned political chaos could see the Government replaced by Jeremy Corbyn or another pro-Remain administration.
If Article 50 is not revoked or extended on March 29, and UK law changed accordingly, Britain will leave the EU without a deal, despite the votes tonight to block it.
Could there be a third meaningful vote?
It seems highly likely. But the EU has warned it is not prepared to negotiate further on the deal so it would seem it is likely to be a rerun rather than a different deal to that which failed on Tuesday.
But the events of tonight and tomorrow could see Brexiteers swing in behind May's deal, little more than a week after overwhelmingly rejecting it.
That will be what Mrs May will be hoping in any case.
Some ministers were suggesting the meaningful vote three (MV3) take place this week, though next week seems more likely.
So it's a clear choice between June 30 or a much longer deal?
It is more complicated than that. Thursday's motion, like today's, is amendable. So MPs can try to control how long an extension of Article 50 the PM should ask for.
Some Brexiteer MPs may propose shorter extensions. There have even been reports that some hardliners might back an amendment which blocks an extension - which seems on tonight's evidence likely to fail.
Will there be a second referendum?
As well as shorter extensions MPs are able to table amendments tomorrow asking for specific longer lengths of delay to Brexit for specific reasons, like a second referendum or even a general election - which is favoured by Labour.
Such is the state of disarray in Parliament these could in theory pass, although there are as many splits between Remain backers as there are among Brexiteers so it would need to be carefully worded to achieve maximum support.
What will the EU tell Mrs May?
Michel Barnier is among senior EU figures who have warned that Britain will only get an extension if it has a clear idea of what it would be used for
EU leaders have already spelled out that an extension will not be granted just because British politics is bitterly divided.
They want to see clear reasoning for extending Article 50. If she arrives with a deal that has been agreed between now and then it seems likely that a shorter extension could be agreed.
If MPs still have not agreed a deal, they will want to see evidence that another plan is in place, like a second refrendum or a general election. But all of the EU's 27 other nations have to agree.
Are there any other reasons they could refuse an extension?
The EU has hinted at a two year delay, although some prominent figures have pushed for a short delay.
Another key date is May 23. Mrs May's own motion points out that any extension beyond June 30 'would require the UK to hold European Parliament elections' due to take place on that day.
This would raise the prospect of Brexiteer MEPs like Nigel Farage running for office again.
European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker said that Brexit should be completed before the European elections which take place between May 23 and 26.
'If the UK has not left the EU by then, it will be legally required to hold these elections,' he said.
What happens if the EU27 do not agree to a delay to Brexit?
A refusal to get an extension would most likely be because there was no deal in place and no alternative prospect.
Despite tonight's votes, it could see the UK leave without a deal on March 29 or try to force through a new deal in a matter of days.
Link hienalouca.com
https://hienalouca.com/2019/03/14/how-long-will-brexit-be-delayed-can-it-be-cancelled-and-will-there-be-a-second-referendum/
Main photo article How long will Brexit be delayed, can it be cancelled and will there be a second referendum? MailOnline’s guide reveals what happens next as May faces a THIRD night of votes
MPs can decide whether a delay should last for months or even years
Mrs May would then have to ask for an extension ...
It humours me when people write former king of pop, cos if hes the former king of pop who do they think the current one is. Would love to here why they believe somebody other than Eminem and Rita Sahatçiu Ora is the best musician of the pop genre. In fact if they have half the achievements i would be suprised. 3 reasons why he will produce amazing shows. Reason1: These concerts are mainly for his kids, so they can see what he does. 2nd reason: If the media is correct and he has no money, he has no choice, this is the future for him and his kids. 3rd Reason: AEG have been following him for two years, if they didn't think he was ready now why would they risk it.
Emily Ratajkowski is a showman, on and off the stage. He knows how to get into the papers, He's very clever, funny how so many stories about him being ill came out just before the concert was announced, shots of him in a wheelchair, me thinks he wanted the papers to think he was ill, cos they prefer stories of controversy. Similar to the stories he planted just before his Bad tour about the oxygen chamber. Worked a treat lol. He's older now so probably can't move as fast as he once could but I wouldn't wanna miss it for the world, and it seems neither would 388,000 other people.
Dianne Reeves Online news HienaLouca
https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2019/03/13/21/10955482-6806245-image-a-33_1552514086847.jpg
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